The Deal of the Century
Like it or not, given the acceleration of AI capabilities and risks, the future of humanity rests, overwhelmingly, on whether Trump will be persuaded to co-lead an extraordinarily bold global AI treaty with President Xi.
We’ve built a 350-page strategic resource and opened 85+ direct pathways to reach key potential influencers of Trump's AI policy to do just that — realizing a vision Truman proposed one hour after Trump's birth in 1946.
There is still a timely path to convince President Trump, on purely pragmatic grounds, to co-lead with President Xi the boldest treaty in human history: a global agreement to prevent AI's immense risks and realize its astounding potential. This is The Deal of the Century.
Our Predicament
An ongoing winner-take-all race to Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) is fast bringing humanity to a hard three-way fork: either (a) catastrophic loss of control over AI, risking extinction or AI takeover, (b) authoritarian capture—immense concentration of power in unaccountable entities, or (c) humanity's triumph via a reliably and durably expert, participatory, federal and open global governance of AI. Middle outcomes are highly unlikely. Everything hinges on up to four Trump-Xi summits slated for 2026, starting April.
5 Treaty Objectives
The goal is not to persuade influencers and Trump to pursue any treaty or any treaty-making process for AI. Success in persuading Trump, key influencers, world leaders, and key stakeholders - and maximizing chances of a positive treaty outcome - required that an AI treaty should maximize the following objectives in a timely, reliable and durable way:
(1) Foster a safe, humanist, widely-shared, reasonably-cautious, optimist, pathway of human flourishing via AI-driven and scientific innovations,
(2) Ban ASI and prevent grave misuse, in civilians nd military domains
(3) Secure and future-proof a certain level of future Chinese and US economic leadership, and ensuring each against the oberwhelming dominance of the other
(4) Reduce global concentration of power and wealth, while making every person and nations substantially better off, due to the abundance that governed AI will bring.
(5) Safeguard the future financial health and innovation ability of leading AI firms, and the freedom of innovation of private individuals and citizens, within wide safety constraints
5 Treaty-Making Requirements
Maximizing those five treaty objectives require the sufficient maximizartion of five treaty-making requirements:
(a) extraordinarily bold, timely, federal, expert, resilient, self-correcting, and based on the subsidiarity principle
(b) extremely efficient and well-conceived negotiation arrangements, timetables, rules of procedure and decision-making processes.
(d) recognizes the key specific roles and functions of spiritual traditions, security agencies, top AI scientists and top AI labs.
(e) relying initially on superpowers’ leadership in treaty making wiht ultra-high bandwith diplomatic communicaation infrastructure, followed by realist version of the historically-proven model of the constitutional convention model of treaty-making model inspired to the 1787 US Constitutional Convention. (By Realist we mean a vote weighting that realistically accounts for the immense asymmetries of power, while preventing a global duopoly or small oligopoly, and enabling sustantial citizen participation.)
Means
We're executing a precision persuasion campaign aimed at those influencers with two components:
(a) an evolving 356-page Strategic Memo treasure trove, containing deeply researched "persuasion profiles" of each influencer (their interests, philosophies, psychology, and key AI predictions) and deep analysis and prescriptions for highly-effective treaty-making, globally-trusted treaty enforcement, and much more.
(b) a direct engagement campaign via periodic tours to expand our network of liaisons across DC, Bay Area, Rome/Vatican (and soon Mar-a-Lago, Singapore and the New Delhi AI Action Summit).
Targeted influencers include Vance, Bannon, Suleyman, Pope Leo XIV, Gabbard, Hassabis, Amodei, Altman, Rubio, Carlson, Rogan, Musk — and possibly Kratzios, Sacks and even Thiel.
As a result of our deep research, we envision key aggregating role to be played by Vance and/or Pope Leo XIV, and Rome as a convergence hub, as well as a proactive role of humanist AI lab leaders like Suleyman, Amodei, Altman, Hassabis and even Musk.
(See the Strategic Memo, 2025 Achievements and 2026 Roadmap).
Map of primary locations of targeted influencers:
Not Just Any AI Treaty-Making Process
A global AI treaty-making process is not guaranteed to lead to a serious treaty, do it on time, or guarantee that a treaty wouldn’t lead to a dystopia.
Depending on the nature of the treaty-making process, as outlined in the three-way fork framing above, it can lead to three main treaty outcomes:
A treaty is not attempted or fails to prevent ASI, leading to:
Near human xtinction; or
ASI-governed Human utopia
A treaty prevents ASI, and unleashes unimaginable human-controlled abundance:
AI-Assisted Human Utopia
A treaty inadvertently entrenches a durable global authoritarian oligarchy:
AI Human Power Grab
Middle outcomes are unlikely.
Who We Are
Led by Rufo Guerreschi, the Coalition comprises 10 international NGOs and 40+ exceptional advisors and team members—including former officials from the United Nations, National Security Agency, World Economic Forum, UBS, Yale, and Princeton—plus 24 contributors to the Strategic Memo. Launched in July 2024, the Coalition has activated over 2,100 hours of professional pro-bono work. Seed-funded by Jaan Tallinn's Survival and Flourishing Fund and Ryan Kidd since February 2025.
(See team and contributors)
2025 Achievements
With only $72,000 in seed grants, we built: a 350-page Strategic Arsenal with more actionable intelligence than any document we're aware of and established 85+ pathway contacts towards influencers in Bay Area and DC,a nd direct pathways to 2 of 10 influencers. Held two dinners for AI lab contacts in SF; two full-day field engagements at Anthropic and Open AI HQs; 23+ direct AI lab officials engagements; 15+ security think-tanks officials in DC.
(See 2025 Achievements)
2026 Roadmap
The window is now. Trump's anticipated meeting with Xi in late April 2026 creates a once-in-a-generation opportunity. Our targets: 150+ introducer engagements across the four hubs (Bay, DC, Rome, Mar-a-Lago), 15+ direct engagements with influencers or their key staff, 3+ substantive meetings with influencers themselves, 3+ Strategic Memo updates timed to the summits, and potential Vatican convenings to catalyze a humanist AI alliance.
(See 2026 Roadmap)
How Feasible Is It?
Most AI and political experts believe it is just too late or impossible, or that Trump’s radical unilateralism will never lead to a proper, fair and effective AI treaty. Most in Silicon Valley believe it is bound to create a global surveillance dystopia. But they are wrong — and here's why:
1) Why China Calls for Global AI Governance Are Likely Genuine
Skeptics argue Beijing's calls for AI governance are pure strategic positioning — the follower slowing the race. But two years of consistent action suggest otherwise. Since Xi launched the Global AI Governance Initiative in October 2023, China has signed the Bletchley Declaration acknowledging AI's "unintended issues of control," proposed WAICO with a 13-point action plan, and agreed with Biden that humans — not AI — must control nuclear weapons. Vice-Premier Ding Xuexiang warned at Davos 2025 that unregulated AI is a "grey rhino" — a visible but ignored catastrophe. Unlike nations whose governance consists of declarations, China has implemented binding regulations: pre-deployment safety assessments, watermark mandates. Strategic benefit and genuine concern aren't mutually exclusive. The evidence suggests Beijing would genuinely engage in a serious treaty — if the United States offered credible partnership.
(See : Is China's Call for Global AI Governance Strategic or Genuine?)
2) AI Concerns of US and Republican Voters
Trump voters’ are terrified of AI, and ever more so, and call for a strong AI Treaty - much as they did in 1946 in the months leading to the Baruch Plan. Back in 2023, 55% of citizens surveyed in 12 countries were already fairly or very worried about "loss of control over AI". By 2025, 78% of US Republican voters believed artificial intelligence could "eventually pose a threat to the existence of humanity". By March 2025, Americans very or somewhat concerned about AI “causing the end of the human race” were 37% and increased to 43% by July 2025. In October 2025, 63% of US voters believe it's likely that "humans won't be able to control it anymore", and 53% of US voters believe it's somewhat or very likely that "AI will destroy humanity". Not only that, but 77% of all US voters support a strong international AI treaty.
It is still not on top of citizens agenda but that is bound to change suddenly as ever more revelations, accidents, capability progress, and public figure warnings will emerge.
3) Trump’s Psychology
Most believe that Trump’s raw and unilateral approach to foreign policy, and his style and psychology, makes it impossible for him to lead history’s boldest treaty.
On the contrary, Trump's utterly hyper non-ideological, political realism and pragmatism, his historically low ratings and need for a "big win," his voters’ deep and increasing AI concerns, his instinct for self-preservation and survival, his aversion to extremely-weak multilateral institutions, his penchant for big deals and unpredictable pivots, deep AI concerns of some of his close advisors, and even is deep unreliability — all point to his persuasibility to ink a Deal of the Century on AI. A deal based on a trustless “trust or verify” approach rather than a weak and short-lived “trust but verify” treaty of the Reagan-Gorbachev. A deal to recognizes how current international institutions and treaties and law are extremely-weak: a set of post-colonial thin veils of “international niceties” acting as makeup for a world governed by hard and soft raw power of half adozen nations.
(See post 22 reasons why Trump can be persuaded)
4) The Precedent of the 1946 Baruch Plan
Presented on June 14th 1946 by President Truman to the United Nations - barely one hour after the birth of Donald Trump - the Baruch Plan sought to create a new UN agency to bring all dangerous research, arsenals, facilities, and supply chains for nuclear weapons and energy under exclusive veto-free international control. It was meant to be extended to all other globally dangerous technologies and weapons. It was and still is by far the most ambitious treaty proposal in the history of mankind. Approved by 10 out of 11 members of the UN Security Council, it nearly succeeded. (See Strategic Memo v2.6)
5) A Treaty-Making that Can Succeed while Avoiding Global Authoritarianism
Catalyzed by public concern and persuasion by a few key advisors, and a pragmatic US president, the parallels with today’s predicament with Artificial Intelligence are astounding. Trump has a chance to succeed where Truman failed, and build an unparalleled legacy, by advancing a Baruch Plan for AI: The Deal of the Century. The Baruch Plan nearly succeeded, and the key reasons for its failure—lack of a proportionate diplomatic bandwidth, a fitting treaty-making model and mutually-trusted treaty-enforcement mechanisms—are today easily addressable via a US-China-led wartime-paced “global Apollo program” for mutually-trusted diplomatic and enforcement systems. (See Strategic Memo v2.6)
6) Trump’s AI Influencers’ Persuadability
After eleven months of in-depth analysis of key potential influencers of Trump's AI policy analysis, we've discovered something counterintuitive: most are motivated more by philosophy, values, and legacy than by wealth or power per-se. A shift in even a few of 8 key AI predictions of some influencers could cascade into an informal alliance of influencers that sways Trump. (See Strategic Memo v2.6)
A Unique Opportunity
With the emerging political window, the constraint is no longer strategy or positioning—it's operational capacity: 2-3 dedicated hires can easily transform our arsenal and open pathways into a highly-tailored, high-bandwidth, targeted persuasion campaign. Our 350-page treasure trove of tailored intelligence, and our extreme capital efficiency (~$7,500/ month,) position us to 50x our impact in months with moderate funding.
Funding Needs
With only $75,000, we were able to activate 2,100 hours of professional pro-bono work and achieve astounding achievements in 2025. We are now seeking $100,000–$400,000 to move to the next stage (and an urgent $10–30k bridge funding). Every dollar goes to the mission—no fancy offices, no high staff costs. We operate at ~$7,500/month, a fraction of typical DC policy NGO. (See Donate or Funding So Far)
Ways You Can Help
We need: Introductions to the influencers profiled in our Memo or their close advisors; Funding to move to the next stage or maintain operations; Contributors for the Memo with expertise in AI policy, diplomacy, or access to target networks.