Roadmap 2026-2027
(Last updated on May 7th, 2026)
In a Gist
Convert our 356-page Strategic Memo and 85+ live contact pathways into a tightly executed persuasion campaign that swings a critical mass of Trump's AI-policy influencers behind a US-China-led AI treaty — paired with a US domestic citizens' co-ownership policy for leading AI labs.
Centerpiece: the September 15–16, 2026 closed-door Roundtable in Washington, DC — "The Cooperation of Statesmen."
Theory of Change & Strategy
The race to Artificial Superintelligence is moving too fast for ordinary multilateral processes. Public opinion already supports a treaty — 77% of US voters — but Trump won't act on polls. He acts on interest and the conviction of people he trusts, and are powerful and can sway elites or voters. So we concentrate on a precision persuasion campaign aimed at ~12 key potential influencers of his AI policy, sorted into three camps:
Conservative Humanists — Rubio, Gabbard, Bannon, DeSantis. Already concerned about AI's threat to human dignity, meaningful work, and family cohesion.
Humans-First Techno-Humanists — Altman, Amodei, Hassabis, Suleyman, Sutskever. Frontier-lab leaders who already publicly support some form of international coordination.
Humans-First Media — Carlson, Rogan. Voices that reach Trump's base directly and can shape the discourse around any treaty announcement.
Our role is to help these influencers deepen their resolve, sharpen their analysis, and converge on a single shared pitch to Trump. We don't lobby the President directly — we equip his trusted circle with one well-evidenced, ideologically diverse argument.
The five operating principles:
Bilateral-first, not UN-first — modeled on Secretary of War Stimson's September 1945 memo to Truman, not the failed Baruch Plan that followed.
Frame as completion of Trump's own initiatives — the Genesis Mission and the Sovereign Wealth Fund EO are positioned as incomplete without treaty enforcement and a citizens' dividend on AI wealth.
Address Thiel's "Antichrist" objection head-on — design a treaty process that prevents authoritarian capture through maximal subsidiarity, accountability, and democratic decentralization.
Convergence over volume — one well-coordinated pitch from a critical mass of trusted advisors will move Trump faster than mass advocacy.
Deploy a finished arsenal — the Memo, tailored Open Letters, and live contact pathways are already built; what we need is operational capacity to deploy them at scale.
What We'll Build & Deploy
Strategic Memo v3.0 — published by Q3 2026, incorporating the Q1 pivot, the Genesis Mission, and the Sovereign Wealth Fund EO as treaty-compatible policy anchors.
Appeal to DJT (draft) and Open Letter to DJT (draft) — finalized and circulated through ≥3 introducer pathways.
Tailored Direct or Open Letters for each primary target, drafted with their advisors or intermediaries where possible.
Internal Strategy Plan shared with NGO partners, advisors, and contributors.
Content cadence — one long-form blog post + LinkedIn/X companion every two weeks, news-hook driven; weekly Friday newsletter.
A Foreseen Timeline Through 2027 — An Optimistic Scenario
A preliminary scenario, offered for orientation rather than as a forecast. The path below assumes several breaks in our favor: sustained funding, no major geopolitical shock that closes US–China dialogue, and the cross-camp convergence we are working toward materializing on roughly the timeline our intelligence suggests is plausible. Reality will diverge — possibly by months, possibly by years. We share this because a credible upside picture helps coordinate effort, sharpens what success looks like, and lets supporters track whether we are on or off pace.
May–August 2026 — Foundation. Strategic Memo v3.0 drafted; first part-time hires onboarded in DC; the Appeal and Open Letter to DJT circulated through introducer pathways. The May Trump–Xi summit creates an early framing opportunity, even if AI is not yet formally on the agenda. Intelligence-gathering on each primary target's evolving posture intensifies.
September 15–16, 2026 — DC Roundtable. "The Cooperation of Statesmen" convenes with named institutional co-hosts and ≥3 primary-target staff or advisors present. The closed-door dialogue produces a shared frame — language several attendees can carry back to their principals without formal attribution.
October–December 2026 — Convergence. Bilateral follow-ons between Roundtable participants and primary targets. A coordinated tier-1 op-ed cluster runs across the Conservative Humanist and Techno-Humanist camps. By year-end, ≥1–2 primary-target influencers are publicly framing AI in treaty-compatible terms — "peace through strength,""cooperation of statesmen,""American leadership through agreement." The Open Letter to DJT is released with cross-camp signers including ≥1 Tier-A figure.
Q1 2027 — Signal. A White House or Cabinet-level voice signals openness to a bilateral US–China AI dialogue. A track-2 back-channel, quietly facilitated by trusted intermediaries, begins meeting. At least two frontier-lab CEOs publicly back a US–Chinabilateral framework. Pope Leo XIV's moral authority is deployed selectively as the Trump–Pope rupture cools; secondary alignment with Vance reactivates.
Q2 2027 — Announcement. At a Trump–Xi summit (or in the sidelines of a G20), a joint working group on AI safety, transparency, and recursive self-improvement is announced — narrow in scope, modeled on the Stimson bilateral-first proposal of September 1945. An Acheson-Lilienthal-style feasibility committee is stood up. A mutually-trusted neutral — Singapore, most likely — is named as secretariat host.
Q3–Q4 2027 — Formal Negotiations. Bilateral negotiations are formally underway. The "global Apollo Program" for trustworthy treaty enforcement — ultra-high-bandwidth diplomatic communications and verification infrastructure — is launched as a joint US–China civilian initiative. Phase-2 scoping begins: a multilateral expansion, on a constitutional-convention model adjusted to GDP, opens to selected middle powers. The Coalition's role pivots from persuasion campaign to expert-advisory and civil-society watchdog.
The above is the upside. A more pessimistic path — no funding, a geopolitical shock that hardens US–China posture, intra-camp veto from Thiel-aligned voices — defers each milestone by 12–24 months and may foreclose the window entirely. The asymmetry between these two paths is what justifies our concentration of effort over the next twelve months.
Where We'll Operate
Washington, DC — Primary base. Continuous presence by Q3 2026; Director relocation by Q4 2026.
Bay Area — AI-lab leadership and investor outreach. Quarterly tours.
Rome / Vatican — Selective Catholic-network engagement; Italian ETS wind-down. Reduced footprint.
12-Month KPIs (May 2026 – April 2027)
We track two primary KPIs — Weighted Engagement and Weighted Credibility — supplemented by operational milestones. Both KPIs apply tier weights so that contact and endorsement from higher-leverage actors count proportionally more.
KPI 1 — Weighted Engagement Score
The unit is one hour of substantive contact (in-person meeting, remote call, or four substantive email exchanges = 1 hour-equivalent; participation in our events counts at full hours attended). Each hour is multiplied by the tier of the contact:
Tier A — ×10 | One of our ~12 primary-target key potential influencers of Trump's AI policy directly.
Tier B — ×3 | Their senior staff, advisor, or envoy; senior White House AI-policy officials.
Tier C — ×1 | Introducers to primary targets; junior staff of primary targets; senior staff of secondary targets (Vance, Pope Leo XIV).
Tier D — ×0.5 | Staff of prospective DC/US partner NGOs and think tanks — e.g., the Human Movement coalition, Stimson Center, HBF DC, German Marshall Fund, Future of Life Institute.
A formally co-signed endorsement of our Appeal to DJT or Open Letter counts as 5 hour-equivalents, multiplied by the signer's tier weight.
12-month targets (weighted points):
Tier A: ≥ 40 points — roughly 4 hours of direct meetings, or one strong endorsement from a primary target.
Tier B: ≥ 150 points — roughly 50 weighted hours of senior-staff and WH engagement.
Tier C: ≥ 300 points — roughly 300 hours of introducer and junior-staff contact.
Tier D: ≥ 150 points — roughly 300 hours of partner-NGO coordination.
Headline target: ≥ 640 weighted engagement points.
KPI 2 — Weighted Credibility Score
Stock of public-facing endorsements and assets that build the legibility and authority of our organization and proposals to the audiences above. Each item weighted by the tier(s) it reaches:
Tier-1 media placements — op-eds, features, or named expert quotes in WSJ, NYT, FT, Foreign Affairs, The Atlantic, National Review, Compact: target ≥ 5, 10 pts each.
Closed-door DC events with named institutional co-hosts and primary-target staff/advisors present: target ≥ 2 (the Sept 15–16 Roundtable + 1 follow-on), 20 pts each.
Confirmed institutional co-hosts of the DC Roundtable (e.g., Stimson, HBF DC, GMF): target ≥ 5, 5 pts each.
New high-value testimonials for our org and proposals: 10 pts each if from a Tier-A or Tier-B figure, 3 pts each if from a Tier-C figure; target ≥ 30 testimonials, of which ≥ 8 are Tier-A/B.
New advisors added to the Coalition: target ≥ 5, 5 pts each.
New NGO members of the Coalition fitting our humans-first humanist focus (faith-based, AI-lab-watcher, Human-Movement-aligned): target ≥ 4, 10 pts each.
Named undersigners of the Appeal to DJT or Open Letter: target ≥ 30 signers, of whom ≥ 5 are of UN / NSA / WEF / Yale / Princeton-equivalent stature; 3 pts each (10 pts for top-tier signers).
Headline target: ≥ 300 weighted credibility points, of which ≥ 100 from Tier-A/B testimonials, top-tier signers, and tier-1 media.
Operational Milestones
2 part-time hires in place by Q3 2026 — DC Advocacy Specialist and Research & Outreach Coordinator.
Director relocated to DC by Q4 2026.
US 501(c)(3) operational (Delaware) by Q4 2026; Italian ETS wound down per devoluzione clause by Q1 2027.
Strategic Memo v3.0 published by Q3 2026.
$200K+ raised beyond SFF base from diversified sources — One Project, LTFF, Long View, Omidyar, Catholic-aligned foundations.
Funding & Capacity
We have $15K in the bank, ~€560/month in recurring donations, and a $7,500/month burn rate — roughly two months of runway absent new funding.
Bridge (urgent) — $10–30K — 2-month runway extension; secures DC venue and key logistics.
Minimum — $30K — Operations through Oct 2026; reduced-scope DC event.
Base — $140K — ED full-time + 2 part-time hires; full-scope DC Roundtable; sustained SF + DC outreach.
Ambitious — $400K — All of Base + simultaneous multi-hub operations; 10x persuasion capacity.
Maximum — $600K — 18-month extension; third FT hire; SF + Singapore satellite convenings; professional polling and messaging research.
The constraint is no longer strategy or positioning — it is capacity. With $400K and two hires, we 10x our outreach inside the 12–18 month political window framed by the four planned Trump–Xi summits in 2026.