Roadmap
Three months to Doral. Six more to seize whatever opens.
By the G20 at Doral on December 14–15, we grow from one person to four, file a 350-page Strategic Memo v3.0 with the administration, and take our consultations with delegates of key US AI power brokers from 4 to 20+. After Doral, we follow wherever the window opens, against milestones we publish below, kill switch included.
Co-lead it, or be cornered by it
In one September week, 29 nations and the European Commission called for an international institution to control frontier AI. Xi told Trump that "AI must be kept under human control." Washington said no to both.
As we argue in a October 1st blog post, Cornered, Beijing could cheaply turn that gap into a UN-anchored treaty assembly, with America's chair left empty. Trump can still co-lead it, before he hosts the G20 at Doral on December 14–15.
Our launchpad
The text: a 356-page Strategic Memo, updated through v2.9 and built on 950+ articles, videos and papers.
The map: 150 pages of power-broker profiles, and a tiered list of ~30 targets ready on day one.
The channels: 30+ hours with senior staff and advisors of Amodei, Pope Leo XIV, Rubio and Kratsios.
The bench: 95+ people close to US AI power brokers engaged, plus 34 advisors and contributors.
The engine: a 270-paper library, a ~1,000-entry evidence base and a daily treaty brief.
All on about $140,000 and 1,700+ volunteer hours. Achievements →
Months 1–3 · To Doral
Key dates: Nov 3 midterms · Super Intelligence Dialogue, by November · Nov 18–19 APEC, Shenzhen · Dec 14–15 G20, Doral.
⅔ — The Mission
Memo v3.0 on file by Doral: a two-page term sheet, an economics chapter, and 15 profiles recast as a coalition map.
Consultations grow from 4 to 20+, with all four warm channels back to monthly contact.
Two briefs: an incident rulebook for the Super Intelligence Dialogue, and a co-lead brief for Doral.
An Open Letter to Trump, plus a day-after kit for the next serious AI incident.
⅓ — The Scaling
Bridge: $30K by the end of October carries us through January.
Stage 1: ~$800K by mid-November funds 18 months at a ~$45K monthly burn.
Fractional COO: We are signing an agreement with a highly regarded one, who will run operations, back end and scaling from the day we get Stage 1 funds.
Within 3-6 months we’ll have three hires, recruited and onboarded by the Fractional COO and taking over part of their role:
a Head of Policy and co-founder, based in DC;
an AI-native chief of staff, who turns meetings into follow-through;
a senior economist, part-time, leading the economics chapter.
Our focus stays on engagement and content, while the COO handles everything else.
Months 4–9 · Wherever the window opens
What we do after Doral depends on what Doral and months 1–3 deliver. Two things are fixed: the team is in seat by month 4, and 80%+ of leadership time goes to the mission. Then:
Trump moves: we surge, and v3.0 becomes a working draft for his envoy.
Talks grind on: we widen the coalition, rung by rung.
Others move first: we work to make America's seat a co-chair, not an empty chair.
An incident hits: the day-after kit goes out within hours.
Nothing moves: we reassess and redirect.
Short of an irrecoverable AI catastrophe, nothing we build by Doral is wasted.
Hold us to these numbers
Month 3: Stage 1 closed, team contracted, v3.0 on file, 20+ relevant consultations held.
Month 5: a working group of 4+ delegates.
Month 9 (the gate): 3 of 4 channels sustained, 6+ delegates, Plan v1. If we have fewer than two channels and no working group, we stop or redirect.
Stage 2 scales to the full program only after the gate.