A Year-End Update from the Coalition for a Baruch Plan for AI
Eleven months ago, we launched the The Deal of the Century with two premises: (1) the race to Superintelligence is a mad gamble with the future of humanity and (2) only a drastic policy shift by the President of the United States can prevent it.
Today, as we close 2025, those premises have only grown more evident and urgent — and a narrow window for action has opened.
This update is for our network. Below: what we've built, who we've reached, and how you can help us seize this moment.
What We Built in 2025
When we pivoted strategy in February, we bet that a small team could produce analysis so thorough and tailored that it could shift the calculus of the handful of individuals who, in a critical mass, could really sway Trump's AI policy.
Published today, the latest version of the Strategic Memo of The Deal of the Century — with 20 contributors and 356-pages long — is a treasure trove containing an in-depth strategic analysis and deep profiles of 14+ key influencers (Vance, Bannon, Altman, Musk, Thiel, Sacks, Pope Leo XIV, Gabbard, Amodei, Hassabis, and others), analyzing their interests, philosophies, and AI predictions. More importantly, it maps tailored persuasion strategies for each — the specific arguments and introducers most likely to move them.
This isn't another policy white paper. It's a strategic playbook for the most consequential influence campaign in AI governance.
Who We've Engaged
During the October 2025 US Persuasion Tour, we put boots on the ground across Silicon Valley and Washington DC:
Meetings with 26+ AI lab policy and strategy staff and introducers at AI labs HQs in the Bay Area—including the top AI advisor or the global head of policy of two of our targeted influencers.
Engaged 16+ researchers and policy staff who maintain independent relationships with key AI policymakers in Washington DC.
Direct letters delivered to Altman, Amodei, and Hassabis — shared via email and hand-delivered in early October to staff at the entrance of their HQs during a two-day field engagement.
Developed high-value introducer relationships including contacts with Vatican AI ethics, leadership at the NSA Cybersecurity Directorate, and AI lab policy executives across frontier labs.
Our coalition now includes now 40+ multidisciplinary advisors and contributors spanning the UN, WEF, NSA (current and former officials), Yale, Princeton, and top AI labs. We maintain direct access to introducers across Congress, Mar-a-Lago networks, the Vatican, and Beijing diplomatic channels.
All of this on a ~$7,500/month burn rate and 1,500+ volunteer hours. This is extreme capital efficiency — we've built what larger organizations would require millions to produce.
For more see our Achievements of 2025 page.
The April 2026 Window
Trump is expected to meet Xi Jinping in April 2026 and then again three more times by the end of the year. Our analysis suggests this could be the moment for "the deal of the century" — but a critical mass of the humanists among Trump's influencers (Bannon, Vance, Pope Leo XIV, Suleyman, Gabbard, Rubio) must coalesce with some techno-optimist humanist influencers (Hassabis, Amodei, Altman, Rogan) before the accelerationist post-humanist camp locks in the trajectory. Our Memo provides the roadmap. What we need is capacity to execute.
Poised to Execute: The Q1 2026 Campaign
We've spent 2025 building the arsenal. Now we deploy it.
The Strategic Memo is a treasure trove — not just analysis, but operational infrastructure. For each of our 14 target influencers, we now have: comprehensive profiles of their interests, philosophy, and psychology; mapped positions on 8 key AI predictions that shape their strategic calculus; tailored persuasion strategies identifying the specific arguments most likely to move them; created late drafts of Direct/Open Letters and attachments calibrated to their worldview; and identified warm introducers with credibility to deliver our case.
This isn't research for its own sake. It's ammunition for a precision influence campaign during a window measured in months.
The October tour gave us more than meetings — it gave us relationships. We now have fresh contacts inside AI lab policy teams, and in DC, researchers and staff who privately share our concerns and potential introducers who've seen our materials and signaled willingness to help. These connections transform cold outreach into warm introductions — the difference between an email that gets deleted and a memo that gets championed.
The April 2026 window is real and approaching fast. Our roadfmap for Q1 2026 is concrete:
January: We publish Strategic Memo 3.0 with updated influencer analyzes and new Direct/Open Letters for all key influencers — including a dedicated letter to Pope Leo XIV timed to his emerging leadership on AI ethics. We complete second-wave outreach to high-priority introducers.
February: We execute the 2nd Persuasion Tour — Washington DC, the Bay Area, the Mar-a-Lago area, Vatican/Rome, as well as Singapore and New Delhi (AI Impact Summit), two potential AI treaty-making hosts. The goal isn't mass awareness; it's precision-targeted delivery to the handful of individuals who actually shape Trump's AI thinking.
March-April: We aim to secure commitments from 3-4 key influencers willing to privately coordinate an approach to Trump, possibly leveraging a private meeting in Rome co-ordinated with the Vatican. If the coalition coalesces, influencers deliver a coordinated private pitch to Trump — timed to precede his Beijing visit. The pitch frames the treaty as Trump's signature achievement, positions it as "peace through strength," and emphasizes the historical destiny angle: the Baruch Plan was proposed the very day he was born.
This sequence is viable because we've already done the hard work. The rich persuasion analysis exists. The letters are being drafted. The introducer relationships are warm. What we need now is the capacity to execute at the tempo this window demands, from January 30th.
For more see our Roadmap for 2026 page.
Three Ways to Help Right Now
1. Fund Us to Move to the Next Stage
Now that v2.6 of the Strategic Memo is published (6 weeks late), we are finally ready to fundraise. We are pursuing a total of $150-400k by the end of January to move to the next stage: hire 2-3 staff to leverage the treasure trove of the memo for 10x outreach and engage in a 2nd persuasion tour. We are also pursuing a timely and urgent $10-20k "bridge" funding to get by until we close the big one.
→ Become a Donor | cbpai@trustlesscomputing.org
2. Connect Us to Influencers
If you have trusted access to any target influencer — starting January 30th share the relevant Direct Letter through a warm introduction, or lend your name as a testimonial.
3. Contribute to Memo 3.0 (Due January 30th)
We need: in-depth knowledge of specific influencers' profiles or networks, expertise in treaty enforcement or diplomatic processes, and writing capacity for final drafts.
→ cbpai@trustlesscomputing.org
The Stakes
History will remember 2026 as the year bold action led to humanity seizing control of its destiny — or the year we surrendered to technological momentum.
Reagan won the Cold War without firing a shot. Trump could win the Intelligence War and save the human species in one deal. The analysis is done. The coalition is ready.
What we need now is you.
Rufo Guerreschi
Executive Director, Coalition for a Baruch Plan for AI
December 30, 2025
